Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2025-02-23 • Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.4%
SEA: 31.6%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.52
SEA: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | TBL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • TBL at home vs SEA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | TBL 4 - 1 SEA | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-14 | SEA 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | SEA |
| 2023-12-09 | SEA 3 - 4 TBL | TBL | SEA |
| 2023-10-30 | TBL 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 09:27 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:15 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:58 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:24 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:14 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5