Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2025-02-23 • Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 71.2%
SEA: 28.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.41
SEA: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | TBL | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.854 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.842 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs SEA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | TBL 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | TBL |
| 2026-03-17 | SEA 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-02-23 | TBL 4 - 1 SEA | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-14 | SEA 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2023-12-09 | SEA 3 - 4 TBL | TBL | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 09:27 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:15 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:58 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:24 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:14 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 71.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.4 - 2.5
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