Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 49.1%

COL: 50.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.76

COL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs COL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	14	0	0.64
1	COL	11	0	0.53
2	STL	13	2	1.49
2	COL	12	1	0.61
3	STL	9	0	0.66
3	COL	18	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0