Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-02-25 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

PHI: 64.0%

PIT: 36.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 4.15

PIT: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs PIT: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-29	PHI 1 - 0 PIT	PHI	PIT
2026-04-27	PIT 3 - 2 PHI	PIT	PHI
2026-04-25	PHI 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PHI
2026-04-22	PHI 5 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2026-04-20	PIT 0 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	0.83
1	PIT	9	2	1.01
2	PHI	18	1	1.55
2	PIT	14	1	1.41
3	PHI	12	0	0.77
3	PIT	12	2	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 4.1 - 2.8