Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-02-25 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 55.7%
PIT: 44.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.88
PIT: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | PHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.815 | 0.927 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PHI at home vs PIT: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PHI |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-02-27 | PIT 5 - 4 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-25 | PHI 6 - 1 PIT | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:19 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:09 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:06 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.9 - 2.8