Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-02-25 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 49.6%

PIT: 50.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 4.03

PIT: 1.75

Total Goals

Median: 4.7

Over 5.5: 39%

Over 6.5: 28%

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PHI at home vs PIT: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	PIT 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	PIT
2026-01-15	PIT 6 - 3 PHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-01	PHI 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-28	PHI 3 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2025-02-27	PIT 5 - 4 PHI	PIT	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:56	PHI	Goal
1	12:19	PHI	Goal
2	06:09	PHI	Goal
2	11:55	PHI	Goal
2	18:55	PHI	Goal
2	19:05	PHI	Goal
3	06:06	PHI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 4.0 - 1.7