New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-02-25 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 5 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 62.3%
NYR: 37.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.13
NYR: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | NYI | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.981 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | NYR 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2026-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-27 | NYI 2 - 0 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-08 | NYR 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-04-10 | NYI 2 - 9 NYR | NYR | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:12 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:39 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:19 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:22 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:30 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:21 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1