Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-02-25 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

UTA: 77.0%

CHI: 23.0%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.90

CHI: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	22	21	1	95.5%	2.18	3	1.18
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	37	35	2	94.6%	4.05	2	2.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs CHI: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	UTA 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	UTA
2026-03-09	CHI 3 - 2 UTA	CHI	UTA
2026-03-01	UTA 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	UTA
2025-10-13	CHI 3 - 1 UTA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-30	CHI 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	15	0	1.23
1	CHI	7	0	0.20
2	UTA	23	2	1.64
2	CHI	12	1	1.18
3	UTA	26	0	1.18
3	CHI	10	2	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.4