New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-02-26 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

COL: 61.7%

NJD: 38.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.28

NJD: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NJD: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	24	0	1.72
1	NJD	11	0	0.89
2	COL	17	0	0.87
2	NJD	14	0	0.81
3	COL	21	1	1.25
3	NJD	10	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 4.3 - 2.7