Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-02-27 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 61.2%
PHI: 38.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.51
PHI: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | PIT | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.927 | 0.815 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PHI |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-02-27 | PIT 5 - 4 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-25 | PHI 6 - 1 PIT | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:00 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:44 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:24 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:35 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:17 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 01:03 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9