Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

PIT: 55.7%

PHI: 44.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.16

PHI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PIT at home vs PHI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	PIT 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	PIT
2026-01-15	PIT 6 - 3 PHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-01	PHI 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-28	PHI 3 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2025-02-27	PIT 5 - 4 PHI	PIT	PIT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:00	PHI	Goal
2	01:44	PHI	Goal
2	07:24	PHI	Goal
2	09:05	PHI	Goal
2	09:35	PHI	Goal
2	11:05	PHI	Goal
2	18:17	PHI	Goal
3	02:30	PIT	Goal
4	01:03	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9