Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-02-27 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 50.0%
WPG: 50.0%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.25
WPG: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
WPG
Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA
| Stat | NSH | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.880 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 3.49 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 23 | 22 | 1 | 95.7% | 3.21 | 1 | 2.21 |
| WPG | Eric Comrie | 31 | 29 | 2 | 93.5% | 3.75 | 6 | 1.75 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NSH at home vs WPG: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | WPG 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | WPG |
| 2025-11-29 | NSH 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NSH |
| 2025-10-18 | WPG 4 - 1 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-27 | NSH 2 - 1 WPG | NSH | WPG |
| 2025-01-07 | WPG 5 - 2 NSH | WPG | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 16 | 2 | 1.04 |
| 1 | WPG | 16 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 2 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 2 | WPG | 22 | 1 | 1.84 |
| 3 | NSH | 17 | 4 | 2.17 |
| 3 | WPG | 8 | 0 | 0.48 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.