Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-02-27 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 67.4%
CHI: 32.6%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.86
CHI: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs CHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | CHI 3 - 2 VGK | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-02 | VGK 4 - 3 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-28 | CHI 3 - 5 VGK | VGK | CHI |
| 2025-02-27 | VGK 7 - 5 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-18 | CHI 5 - 3 VGK | CHI | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:06 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 06:58 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 08:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 12:17 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 16:54 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 01:01 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 05:30 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 13:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 06:56 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 09:44 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:45 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.9 - 2.4