Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

VGK: 78.8%

CHI: 21.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.35

CHI: 2.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	17	1	1.52
1	CHI	9	1	0.82
2	VGK	14	1	1.50
2	CHI	10	0	0.38
3	VGK	14	0	0.78
3	CHI	13	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.3 - 2.2