Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-02-28 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 44.0%

LAK: 56.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.19

LAK: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	19	5	2.35
1	LAK	15	2	1.17
2	DAL	14	1	0.79
2	LAK	24	0	1.22
3	DAL	12	1	1.88
3	LAK	21	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1