Nashville Predators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 7 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 45.6%

NSH: 54.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.38

NSH: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	25	4	86.2%	3.94	3	-0.06
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	29	7	80.6%	4.21	4	-2.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	NYI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-08	NSH 2 - 1 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-04-08	NSH 7 - 6 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-03-01	NYI 7 - 4 NSH	NYI	NSH
2024-04-06	NYI 2 - 0 NSH	NYI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	27	3	2.18
1	NSH	7	1	0.35
2	NYI	14	0	0.82
2	NSH	17	2	2.04
3	NYI	10	1	1.21
3	NSH	24	0	1.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 7 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.4