Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 72.4%
CGY: 27.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.65
CGY: 2.28
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | FLA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.960 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | CGY 4 - 1 FLA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-28 | FLA 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | FLA |
| 2025-03-01 | FLA 3 - 0 CGY | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-14 | CGY 3 - 0 FLA | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-03-09 | FLA 5 - 1 CGY | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:24 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:08 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 0 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.7 - 2.3
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