San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 67.8%
SJS: 32.2%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.79
SJS: 2.24
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | OTT | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.857 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs SJS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | OTT 7 - 4 SJS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-22 | SJS 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-01 | OTT 5 - 3 SJS | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-27 | SJS 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-09 | SJS 2 - 1 OTT | SJS | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:05 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:17 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 01:26 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:00 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:31 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.2
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