San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 66.4%
SJS: 33.6%
Expected Goals
OTT: 4.28
SJS: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | OTT | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs SJS: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | SJS 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | SJS |
| 2025-03-01 | OTT 5 - 3 SJS | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-27 | SJS 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | SJS |
| 2024-03-09 | SJS 2 - 1 OTT | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-01-13 | OTT 5 - 4 SJS | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:05 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:17 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 01:26 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:00 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:31 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.3 - 2.7