New Jersey Devils at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 52.6%

NJD: 47.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.95

NJD: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs NJD: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	NJD 4 - 1 UTA	NJD	UTA
2025-12-19	UTA 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	UTA
2025-03-01	UTA 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	UTA
2024-10-14	NJD 3 - 0 UTA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	0	0.60
1	NJD	14	2	1.18
2	UTA	15	0	0.69
2	NJD	15	1	0.79
3	UTA	18	0	1.01
3	NJD	11	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0