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Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
ANA: 51.7%
CHI: 48.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.16
CHI: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
StatANACHI
Season SV%0.8880.909
Last 5 SV%0.8400.851
SV% vs Opponent0.9330.938
GAA3.152.63
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • ANA at home vs CHI: 2-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-07ANA 7 - 1 CHIANAANA
2025-11-30CHI 5 - 3 ANACHICHI
2025-10-19CHI 2 - 1 ANACHIANA
2025-03-01ANA 3 - 6 CHICHIANA
2024-11-19CHI 2 - 3 ANAANACHI

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
207:48CHIGoal
208:33ANAGoal
210:24CHIGoal
213:16CHIGoal
214:41CHIGoal
304:53CHIGoal
307:40CHIGoal
310:56CHIGoal
317:16CHIGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0