Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 61.2%
CHI: 38.8%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.10
CHI: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | ANA | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs CHI: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ANA 7 - 1 CHI | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-30 | CHI 5 - 3 ANA | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-10-19 | CHI 2 - 1 ANA | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-01 | ANA 3 - 6 CHI | CHI | ANA |
| 2024-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:41 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:16 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:24 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:33 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:48 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:16 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:56 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 07:40 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:53 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9