Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-03-01 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 61.9%
VAN: 38.1%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.16
VAN: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA
| Stat | SEA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Joey Daccord | 31 | 28 | 3 | 90.3% | 3.20 | 1 | 0.20 |
| VAN | Kevin Lankinen | 24 | 18 | 6 | 75.0% | 2.30 | 1 | -3.70 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs VAN: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | VAN 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | VAN |
| 2026-02-28 | SEA 5 - 1 VAN | SEA | SEA |
| 2026-01-02 | VAN 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | VAN |
| 2025-12-29 | SEA 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-04-02 | VAN 0 - 5 SEA | SEA | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 8 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 1 | VAN | 27 | 0 | 1.65 |
| 2 | SEA | 14 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | VAN | 12 | 1 | 0.73 |
| 3 | SEA | 11 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 3 | VAN | 20 | 0 | 0.82 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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