Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-02 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 0 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

MIN: 58.5%

BOS: 41.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.21

BOS: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	28	28	0	100.0%	1.99	1	1.99
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	22	21	1	95.5%	1.62	1	0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs BOS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	BOS
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	BOS
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS
2023-12-23	MIN 3 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	6	0	0.12
1	BOS	13	0	0.47
2	MIN	17	1	1.19
2	BOS	12	1	0.85
3	MIN	10	0	0.31
3	BOS	17	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 0 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9