Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-02 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 58.6%
CGY: 41.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.15
CGY: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | CAR | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | CAR 1 - 0 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-02 | CAR 2 - 1 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-24 | CGY 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CGY |
| 2024-03-10 | CAR 7 - 2 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-12-07 | CGY 3 - 2 CAR | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19:25 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:06 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 03:16 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 2.6