Calgary Flames at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-02 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 66.0%
CGY: 34.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.77
CGY: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | CAR | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.878 | 0.862 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | CGY 5 - 4 CAR | CGY | CAR |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR 1 - 0 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-02 | CAR 2 - 1 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-24 | CGY 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-03-10 | CAR 7 - 2 CGY | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19:25 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:06 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 03:16 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6
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