Nashville Predators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-03-02 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

NYR: 61.4%

NSH: 38.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.38

NSH: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Jonathan Quick	34	34	0	100.0%	2.97	2	2.97
NSH	Justus Annunen	34	30	4	88.2%	2.87	0	-1.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	NSH 2 - 1 NYR	NSH	NSH
2025-11-10	NYR 6 - 3 NSH	NYR	NYR
2025-03-02	NYR 4 - 0 NSH	NYR	NYR
2024-12-17	NSH 2 - 0 NYR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-02	NSH 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	0	0.84
1	NSH	13	0	0.52
2	NYR	16	0	1.04
2	NSH	14	1	1.02
3	NYR	11	0	1.00
3	NSH	25	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9