Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-03 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 37.3%

LAK: 62.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.42

LAK: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	42	41	1	97.6%	3.12	0	2.12
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	19	14	5	73.7%	3.32	4	-1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs LAK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	LAK 6 - 0 CHI	LAK	LAK
2025-12-04	LAK 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	LAK
2025-10-26	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	CHI
2025-03-20	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-03	CHI 5 - 1 LAK	CHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	1	0.69
1	LAK	20	0	1.26
2	CHI	12	2	1.25
2	LAK	11	0	0.46
3	CHI	9	1	1.38
3	LAK	26	0	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.4 - 3.3