Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-03-04 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 49.3%
CAR: 50.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.94
CAR: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4 - 3 CAR | DET | CAR |
| 2025-12-27 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5 - 3 CAR | DET | CAR |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:59 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:29 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:05 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.