Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-03-04 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

DET: 41.5%

CAR: 58.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.14

CAR: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	1	1.40
1	CAR	18	1	1.62
2	DET	12	1	1.15
2	CAR	20	2	1.20
3	DET	15	0	0.75
3	CAR	13	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.1 - 3.3