New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-03-04 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 61.1%
NJD: 38.9%
Expected Goals
DAL: 4.00
NJD: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • DAL at home vs NJD: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | NJD 0 - 3 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2025-03-04 | DAL 4 - 3 NJD | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-22 | NJD 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | NJD |
| 2024-03-14 | DAL 2 - 6 NJD | NJD | DAL |
| 2024-01-20 | NJD 2 - 6 DAL | DAL | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:39 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:46 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:09 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:30 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:55 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:52 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:18 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 4.0 - 3.0