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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-03-04 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 74.5%
ANA: 25.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.91
ANA: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 57%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
StatEDMANA
Season SV%0.9060.888
Last 5 SV%0.8370.840
SV% vs Opponent0.8520.867
GAA2.733.15
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • EDM at home vs ANA: 5-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-28EDM 4 - 2 ANAEDMEDM
2026-02-25ANA 6 - 5 EDMANAEDM
2026-01-26EDM 7 - 4 ANAEDMEDM
2025-04-07ANA 3 - 2 EDMANAEDM
2025-03-04EDM 2 - 6 ANAANAEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
110:05EDMGoal
111:57EDMGoal
113:37ANAGoal
118:26ANAGoal
118:38ANAGoal
213:22ANAGoal
303:56ANAGoal
304:44ANAGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 74.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.9 - 2.5