Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-03-04 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 63.0%
MIN: 37.0%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.74
MIN: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | SEA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • SEA at home vs MIN: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | SEA 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | SEA |
| 2025-12-08 | SEA 1 - 4 MIN | MIN | SEA |
| 2025-03-19 | MIN 4 - 0 SEA | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-04 | SEA 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | SEA |
| 2024-10-12 | MIN 4 - 5 SEA | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:27 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 16:40 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:23 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:41 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:22 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 14:10 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:48 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.7 - 2.8