Ottawa Senators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-05 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 53.2%
OTT: 46.8%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.45
OTT: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CHI | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.760 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | OTT 6 - 4 CHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-28 | CHI 7 - 3 OTT | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-04-15 | OTT 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | OTT |
| 2025-03-05 | CHI 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | CHI |
| 2024-03-28 | OTT 2 - 0 CHI | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:25 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 11:38 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 12:22 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:09 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:29 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:47 | CHI | Goal |
| 4 | 00:46 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.5 - 3.4