St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 50.7%

STL: 49.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.23

STL: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs STL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.27
1	STL	17	0	1.22
2	LAK	10	0	0.75
2	STL	18	0	1.27
3	LAK	11	0	0.40
3	STL	14	0	0.76
4	LAK	5	0	0.72
4	STL	1	0	0.16
5	LAK	3	1	1.05
5	STL	3	2	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0