Utah Hockey Club at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-03-06 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 54.2%
UTA: 45.8%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.08
UTA: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | DET | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • DET at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTA 4 - 1 DET | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-17 | DET 1 - 4 UTA | UTA | DET |
| 2025-03-24 | UTA 1 - 5 DET | DET | UTA |
| 2025-03-06 | DET 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:08 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 03:17 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 08:49 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:55 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:51 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2