Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-06 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CAR: 80.2%

BOS: 19.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.86

BOS: 2.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	34	32	2	94.1%	3.14	2	1.14
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	23	20	3	87.0%	2.67	2	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.99
1	BOS	16	0	0.87
2	CAR	10	0	0.54
2	BOS	16	0	1.08
3	CAR	14	2	1.14
3	BOS	15	2	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.9 - 2.3