Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-06 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 74.1%
BOS: 25.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.95
BOS: 1.87
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | CAR | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.762 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CAR at home vs BOS: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | CAR 6 - 5 BOS | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2 - 1 CAR | BOS | CAR |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-03-06 | CAR 3 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:29 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 18:55 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:06 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 01:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:41 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 74.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.9 - 1.9
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