Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.7%

WPG: 38.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.14

WPG: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	35	29	6	82.9%	3.70	3	-2.30
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	23	22	1	95.7%	2.64	2	1.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NJD at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.52
1	WPG	15	1	1.02
2	NJD	15	1	1.25
2	WPG	18	1	1.69
3	NJD	13	1	0.87
3	WPG	11	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0