Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-03-07 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 58.2%
WPG: 41.8%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.16
WPG: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | NJD | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.893 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | NJD 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | NJD |
| 2026-01-11 | WPG 4 - 3 NJD | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-03-28 | WPG 4 - 0 NJD | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-03-07 | NJD 1 - 6 WPG | WPG | NJD |
| 2024-03-21 | NJD 4 - 1 WPG | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:17 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 03:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:30 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 00:31 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 11:56 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 14:21 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 16:55 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2