Utah Hockey Club at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-07 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 44.4%

UTA: 55.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.93

UTA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs UTA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	UTA 2 - 3 CHI	CHI	UTA
2026-03-09	CHI 3 - 2 UTA	CHI	UTA
2026-03-01	UTA 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	UTA
2025-10-13	CHI 3 - 1 UTA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-30	CHI 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	7	0	0.31
1	UTA	10	1	1.24
2	CHI	16	1	1.30
2	UTA	21	1	1.69
3	CHI	6	0	0.29
3	UTA	21	0	1.31
4	CHI	3	0	0.30
4	UTA	3	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1