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2025-26 Season Live

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
OTT: 54.7%
NYR: 45.3%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.15
NYR: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
StatOTTNYR
Season SV%0.8810.910
Last 5 SV%0.9210.912
SV% vs Opponent0.933
GAA2.952.51
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs NYR: 2-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-23NYR 1 - 2 OTTOTTOTT
2026-01-14NYR 4 - 8 OTTOTTNYR
2025-12-04OTT 2 - 4 NYRNYROTT
2025-03-08OTT 4 - 3 NYROTTOTT
2025-01-21NYR 5 - 0 OTTNYRNYR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
108:37NYRGoal
203:55NYRGoal
204:06NYRGoal
307:08NYRGoal
310:16NYRGoal
317:08OTTGoal
400:33OTTGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9