New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

OTT: 56.4%

NYR: 43.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.16

NYR: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NYR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	14	0	0.92
1	NYR	14	0	0.45
2	OTT	12	0	0.60
2	NYR	16	0	1.37
3	OTT	20	3	1.92
3	NYR	12	0	0.66
4	OTT	1	0	0.09
4	NYR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9