Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 58.7%
SEA: 41.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.50
SEA: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | PHI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.854 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.762 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs SEA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | SEA 4 - 1 PHI | SEA | PHI |
| 2025-10-20 | PHI 5 - 2 SEA | PHI | SEA |
| 2025-03-08 | PHI 1 - 4 SEA | SEA | PHI |
| 2024-10-17 | SEA 6 - 4 PHI | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-02-10 | PHI 3 - 2 SEA | PHI | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:28 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:11 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:57 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:38 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:55 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0
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