Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 60.4%

SEA: 39.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.42

SEA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	15	1	1.23
1	SEA	13	0	0.74
2	PHI	14	0	0.85
2	SEA	21	1	1.43
3	PHI	8	0	0.31
3	SEA	15	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8