Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 0 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 60.2%

BUF: 39.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.94

BUF: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	1	1.09
1	BUF	13	1	0.79
2	FLA	17	1	1.53
2	BUF	19	2	1.27
3	FLA	18	3	2.23
3	BUF	7	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 0 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.9 - 3.5