Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

COL: 58.5%

TOR: 41.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.55

TOR: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	TOR 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-12	COL 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	COL
2025-03-19	TOR 2 - 1 COL	TOR	COL
2025-03-08	COL 7 - 4 TOR	COL	COL
2024-02-24	COL 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	0	0.76
1	TOR	10	1	0.54
2	COL	23	1	1.60
2	TOR	8	0	0.53
3	COL	11	2	2.46
3	TOR	15	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.5 - 2.6