Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 60.4%
TOR: 39.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.36
TOR: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | COL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | TOR 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-12 | COL 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | COL |
| 2025-03-19 | TOR 2 - 1 COL | TOR | COL |
| 2025-03-08 | COL 7 - 4 TOR | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-24 | COL 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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