Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-08 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

COL: 60.4%

TOR: 39.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.36

TOR: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	TOR 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-12	COL 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	COL
2025-03-19	TOR 2 - 1 COL	TOR	COL
2025-03-08	COL 7 - 4 TOR	COL	COL
2024-02-24	COL 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	00:56	COL	Goal
1	03:04	COL	Goal
1	06:08	COL	Goal
1	12:51	COL	Goal
1	16:04	TOR	Goal
2	12:45	TOR	Goal
2	15:11	TOR	Goal
3	11:55	COL	Goal
3	15:45	COL	Goal
3	18:06	COL	Goal
3	19:07	COL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8