New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-03-08 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 39.2%
NYI: 60.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.80
NYI: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | SJS | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs NYI: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | SJS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | SJS |
| 2025-10-21 | NYI 4 - 3 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-08 | SJS 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-18 | NYI 4 - 1 SJS | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-03-07 | SJS 2 - 7 NYI | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:43 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:21 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:27 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:13 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 03:51 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.