New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-03-09 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 53.5%
NJD: 46.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.91
NJD: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • PHI at home vs NJD: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | NJD 1 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-29 | NJD 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | NJD |
| 2025-11-22 | PHI 6 - 3 NJD | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-09 | PHI 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | PHI |
| 2025-01-29 | NJD 5 - 0 PHI | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 05:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 15:14 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 19:42 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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