Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-03-09 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 73.6%
SEA: 26.4%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.79
SEA: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | WSH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.854 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs SEA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | SEA 5 - 1 WSH | SEA | WSH |
| 2025-10-21 | WSH 4 - 1 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-09 | WSH 4 - 2 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-03-14 | SEA 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:37 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:35 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 02:51 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:23 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:44 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:31 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.8 - 2.7
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