Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-09 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

MIN: 40.6%

PIT: 59.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.90

PIT: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-21	PIT 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2025-10-30	MIN 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	MIN
2025-03-09	MIN 1 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-10-29	PIT 3 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2024-02-09	MIN 3 - 2 PIT	MIN	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.87
1	PIT	9	0	0.35
2	MIN	16	0	0.83
2	PIT	9	1	0.92
3	MIN	19	0	1.34
3	PIT	10	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3