Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-09 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CAR: 69.5%

WPG: 30.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.62

WPG: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	22	20	2	90.9%	2.34	3	0.34
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	27	23	4	85.2%	3.48	2	-0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	10	0	0.55
1	WPG	8	0	0.53
2	CAR	19	1	1.67
2	WPG	14	1	0.74
3	CAR	12	1	1.26
3	WPG	11	2	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0