Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-09 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CAR: 69.0%

WPG: 31.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 5.83

WPG: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	10	0	0.55
1	WPG	8	0	0.53
2	CAR	19	1	1.67
2	WPG	14	1	0.74
3	CAR	12	1	1.26
3	WPG	11	2	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 8.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 5.8 - 2.7