Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-03-09 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 7 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 54.1%

CBJ: 45.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.48

CBJ: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Jonathan Quick	28	21	7	75.0%	2.50	1	-4.50
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	35	32	3	91.4%	3.52	2	0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NYR at home vs CBJ: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.76
1	CBJ	9	0	0.44
2	NYR	15	1	0.92
2	CBJ	19	0	1.25
3	NYR	25	1	1.84
3	CBJ	13	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 7 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0