Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-03-10 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 50.7%
DET: 49.3%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.20
DET: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | OTT | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.927 | 0.907 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • OTT at home vs DET: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | DET 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-02-26 | OTT 1 - 2 DET | DET | OTT |
| 2026-01-18 | DET 4 - 3 OTT | DET | OTT |
| 2026-01-05 | OTT 3 - 5 DET | DET | OTT |
| 2025-03-27 | DET 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:39 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 02:58 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:56 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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