Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-03-11 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 58.7%

FLA: 41.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.04

FLA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	2	1.11
1	FLA	14	0	0.69
2	BOS	13	0	0.36
2	FLA	14	0	1.02
3	BOS	17	0	1.12
3	FLA	16	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8