Columbus Blue Jackets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-11 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

NJD: 57.8%

CBJ: 42.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

CBJ: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	20	17	3	85.0%	1.52	0	-1.48
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	28	23	5	82.1%	2.96	2	-2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NJD at home vs CBJ: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	NJD 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-12-31	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-12-01	NJD 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	NJD
2025-10-13	CBJ 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	CBJ
2025-03-17	CBJ 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.94
1	CBJ	9	0	0.39
2	NJD	16	1	1.30
2	CBJ	12	0	0.45
3	NJD	9	1	0.72
3	CBJ	16	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8