New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-03-11 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 59.4%
NYR: 40.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.20
NYR: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • WPG at home vs NYR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | WPG 2 - 1 NYR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-12 | NYR 3 - 6 WPG | WPG | NYR |
| 2024-03-19 | NYR 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | NYR |
| 2023-10-30 | WPG 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 11:00 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:06 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0