New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-11 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 61.4%
NYI: 38.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.59
NYI: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | LAK | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • LAK at home vs NYI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | LAK 4 - 1 NYI | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-10 | NYI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | NYI |
| 2024-03-11 | LAK 3 - 0 NYI | LAK | LAK |
| 2023-12-09 | NYI 3 - 2 LAK | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:33 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 14:00 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 09:14 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 08:37 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7