New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-11 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 57.4%
NYI: 42.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.26
NYI: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | LAK | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | NYI 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-03-05 | LAK 5 - 3 NYI | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-11 | LAK 4 - 1 NYI | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-10 | NYI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-03-11 | LAK 3 - 0 NYI | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:33 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 08:37 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 09:14 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 14:00 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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