New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

LAK: 61.4%

NYI: 38.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.23

NYI: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	1	1.40
1	NYI	10	0	0.68
2	LAK	13	0	0.92
2	NYI	22	1	2.20
3	LAK	9	1	1.01
3	NYI	15	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6