Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-03-12 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 7 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

DET: 54.1%

BUF: 45.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 4.11

BUF: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 8.7

Over 5.5: 88%

Over 6.5: 78%

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • DET at home vs BUF: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	DET
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	DET
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	DET
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	07:38	BUF	Goal
1	12:36	DET	Goal
1	15:40	DET	Goal
1	19:07	DET	Goal
1	19:25	DET	Goal
2	10:54	DET	Goal
2	18:12	DET	Goal
3	01:36	DET	Goal
3	05:39	DET	Goal
3	14:31	DET	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 7 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 4.1 - 2.8