Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-03-12 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 7 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 59.3%
BUF: 40.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 4.05
BUF: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | DET | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.845 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DET at home vs BUF: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | DET 4 - 5 BUF | BUF | DET |
| 2025-10-22 | BUF 4 - 2 DET | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-12 | DET 7 - 3 BUF | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-09 | BUF 5 - 6 DET | DET | BUF |
| 2024-11-02 | DET 2 - 1 BUF | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:25 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 19:07 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 15:40 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 12:36 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 07:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:12 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 10:54 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 14:31 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 01:36 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 7 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 4.1 - 2.9