Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-03-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 67.2%

VAN: 32.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.56

VAN: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CGY at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	1	0.99
1	VAN	8	1	0.81
2	CGY	9	1	0.79
2	VAN	11	0	0.55
3	CGY	7	0	0.29
3	VAN	23	1	1.74
4	CGY	1	0	0.12
4	VAN	9	1	0.93
5	CGY	4	1	1.02
5	VAN	4	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.6 - 2.8