Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

SEA: 59.5%

MTL: 40.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.30

MTL: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	26	1	1.63
1	MTL	12	0	0.27
2	SEA	21	0	1.20
2	MTL	19	1	1.55
3	SEA	11	1	0.68
3	MTL	10	0	0.34
4	SEA	1	0	0.11
4	MTL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4