Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

SEA: 65.2%

MTL: 34.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.13

MTL: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 13-5-3 | 0.889 SV% | 3.01 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	25	21	4	84.0%	2.16	1	-1.84
MTL	Jakub Dobes	35	30	5	85.7%	3.62	2	-1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	SEA 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-10-14	MTL 5 - 4 SEA	MTL	MTL
2025-03-12	SEA 5 - 4 MTL	SEA	SEA
2024-10-29	MTL 2 - 8 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-03-24	SEA 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	26	1	1.63
1	MTL	12	0	0.27
2	SEA	21	0	1.20
2	MTL	19	1	1.55
3	SEA	11	1	0.68
3	MTL	10	0	0.34
4	SEA	1	0	0.11
4	MTL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2