Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

NJD: 51.5%

EDM: 48.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

EDM: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	33	31	2	93.9%	3.47	3	1.47
EDM	Stuart Skinner	22	19	3	86.4%	2.34	2	-0.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	NJD
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	12	0	0.90
1	EDM	12	1	1.06
2	NJD	17	2	1.08
2	EDM	11	1	0.98
3	NJD	10	0	0.36
3	EDM	26	1	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1