St. Louis Blues at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-03-13 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 54.0%
STL: 46.0%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.13
STL: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | PIT | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.91 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs STL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | PIT 6 - 3 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-03 | STL 5 - 4 PIT | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-13 | PIT 5 - 3 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2023-12-30 | PIT 4 - 2 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2023-10-21 | STL 4 - 2 PIT | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:42 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 11:35 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 02:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:56 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:15 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:26 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1